Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.Rosario Grain Exchange: Argentina's wheat production in 2024/25 is estimated to be 19.3 million tons, compared with the previous estimate of 18.8 million tons.South Korean President Yin Xiyue: The opposition party is trying to destroy South Korea's growth engine.
High-word-of-mouth movies rush to the box office at the end of the year. The Spring Festival file in 2025 is expected to usher in a strong performance. According to the data of Lighthouse Professional Edition, as of December 11 (17: 40), the cumulative box office of 20 movies in 2024 has reached 1.119 billion yuan. Among them, "Good Things" has a box office of 569 million yuan and a douban score of 9.1, which leads both word-of-mouth and box office. In addition, this week's three potential new films, Broken Hell, Misjudgment and Lion Boy 2, have been screened and entered the box office sprint at the end of the year. It is also known that four films, Nezha's Devil Children Roaring the Sea, The Legend of the Condor Heroes: The Great Man, The Fortunes of the Gods Part II: The War in the West, The Bear Appears and Restarts the Future, have been confirmed to be scheduled for the Spring Festival in 2025. The "National Film Consumption Season for the benefit of the people" launched by the State Film Bureau on December 9 will last from December 2024 to February 2025, and a total of not less than 600 million yuan will be invested in movie viewing subsidies, covering the Lunar New Year and Spring Festival files, which will help promote the market's enthusiasm for watching movies. Huatai Securities released a research report saying that the box office of the Spring Festival in 2025 is expected to usher in a strong performance. In 2025, the supply and demand sides of the film market are expected to improve, or will push the fundamental inflection point of the cinema line plate upward. (Securities Daily)Canadian Finance Minister: Several governors urged the government to make a strong response to Trump's tariff threat.List of A-share share repurchase: 16 companies disclosed the progress of repurchase, and on December 12, a total of 16 companies issued announcements related to share repurchase. Among them, four companies disclosed the stock repurchase plan for the first time, two companies' repurchase plans were approved by the shareholders' meeting, four companies disclosed the implementation progress of stock repurchase, and six companies' repurchase plans have been implemented. Judging from the initial disclosure of the repurchase plan, the amount of a company's stock repurchase plan on that day exceeded 10 million. Nanshan aluminum, Longzhu Science and Technology and Longzhu Science and Technology have the highest repurchase plans, and they plan to repurchase no more than 600 million yuan, 5,895,100 yuan and 1,171,000 yuan respectively. Judging from the repurchase plan passed by the shareholders' meeting, the repurchase plans of two companies exceeded 10 million on that day. Huaan Securities and Tongkun have the highest repurchase amount, with the planned repurchase not exceeding 200 million yuan and 51,966,700 yuan respectively. Judging from the implementation progress of repurchase, Shunluo Electronics, Shengquan Group and Hailiang have the highest repurchase amounts, with 9.009 million yuan, 3.8251 million yuan and 3.5187 million yuan respectively. Judging from the completed repurchase, the repurchase amount of four companies on that day exceeded 10 million. Chengda Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Jinshi Resources Co., Ltd. and Yingfangwei Co., Ltd. have completed the highest repurchase amounts, with 57,061,600 yuan, 53,158,000 yuan and 31,405,600 yuan respectively.
South Korean President Yin Xiyue: The opposition party does not recognize the president.In the UK, the RICS house price difference in November was positive 25, the highest since September 2022, and in October it was positive 16.The Chinese Consulate General in Los Angeles reminded citizens in China to take precautions against mountain fires. Recently, a sudden mountain fire disaster occurred in Malibu, California, USA, causing evacuation and some property losses. The Consulate General in Los Angeles would like to remind China citizens in the consular district to pay attention to the dynamics of mountain fires in a timely manner, make reasonable arrangements for travel, and avoid going to relevant areas; Comply with the local government's disaster avoidance and evacuation guidelines; Scientific protection to reduce the impact of mountain fire smoke on health.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13